Thursday 21 October 2010

Ding Ding, Round 2

The most hyped pitching match-up of the 2010 play-offs has thankfully got a mulligan. Game 1 in Philadelphia turned into something more akin to damage limitation than the hitter domination that had been forecast after Tim Lincecum and Roy Halladay’s respective play-off debuts. Against the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds the two ace’s combined to pitch eighteen innings, allowed two hit and exactly zero runs. Just as a reminder neither of the two had pitched in the play-offs before. Not a bad introduction. Unfortunately the sequel was somewhat of a letdown after the impressive postseason debuts with Lincecum prevailing with seven difficult innings in which he allowed 6 hits and 3 runs, that qualifies as a quality start but hardly overpowering, luckily for ‘The Freak’ Halladay was slightly less impressive, also going seven innings while giving up four runs on eight hits. Neither pitcher had their best stuff on that cold Saturday night but thanks to the competitive nature of the NLCS the public gets to see a rematch of Halladay-Lincecum, and all indications are that round 2 will be significantly different from round 1, at least for one side of the equation.

Lincecum has had a very successful year facing the Philadelphia Phillies, going 2-1 with a 3.17 ERA and holding only three Phillies to above a .250 average, that’s Jayson Werth, Placido Polanco and Ross Gload. Halladay has had less success against the Giants with an 0-2 record and a startling 7.23 ERA. Given his track record against this Philly line up and his relative success in game one shows a potential position of strength the man they call the ‘Franchise’ whereas his potential successor as the NL Cy Young winner will have to change his fortunes against the Giants.

Both pitchers have had outstanding careers so far but tonight can only be a defining performance for one of them, and it will be the orange clad hurler who has that opportunity. For Halladay it is a game he has to win to keep Philadelphia’s season alive, Lincecum has the opportunity to do something far more historic. The Freak can signal a new dawn for this Giants organise and send them to their first World Series since 2002, which in itself isn’t exactly a huge deal on its own but, what is significant, it would be their first Fall Classic with Barry Bonds. How fitting if the new face of the franchise was the one to seal it.

Thursday 14 October 2010

Eulogy For Something Special


It’s over, and that’s the most startling thing about this whole 2010 Atlanta Braves journey is that it has come to an end. It didn’t happen the way the players wanted it to or the way the fans wanted but maybe it ended in the way most fitting for Bobby Cox’s career. More pertinently it wasn’t just the season that ended, the game 4 loss to the Giants in the National League Division Series marked the final time that Bobby Cox would sit on a Major League bench as a manager. Bobby’s career has been eulogised enough by people far more eloquent than I but these last two series (the Phillies and Giants) showed us exactly how much love the city and team of Atlanta has for the veteran manager.

The three sell outs to end the regular season during ‘Bobby Cox Weekend’ gave the fans the chance to thank Bobby for the 20 plus years he gave to the city and the team, it was an outpouring of emotion that only ever happens in sports. The epic finale to his wonderful career was the moments following Melky Cabrera making the final out of game 4, with the Giants beginning their celebration in the middle of the Braves diamond something strange happened in the capacity crowd. There wasn’t any boos, as the fans had showered on Brooks Conrad the night before, there wasn’t the mass exodus as witnessed the night after at Tropicana Field, the 44,532 individuals inside the Ted simply began chanting one name; Bobby. With the increasing volume and passion in the chant Bobby made one more walk up the dug-out steps and onto the field, his players stopped and applauded, the fans all stopped and applauded and, in one final touching tribute, the Giants stopped celebrating to applaud. One final great tribute to one of the last great managers.

It wasn’t just the fans who were demonstrating their love during the NLDS the Braves players made it clear from the beginning that everything they did was in Cox’s name. No player was more forthright in their feelings or actions than the only Braves on the play-off roster who appeared in Cox’s last postseason appearance back in 2005. Brian McCann was a young rookie who came up as part of the ‘Baby Braves’ and Tim Hudson was serving as the Braves ace making his first play-off appearance as a Braves. This year they were the veterans of the team and the backbone that Cox relied on to be his leaders. Both paid tributes to Cox with their performance in the NLDS. Hudson only made the one start after appearing on sort rest at the end of the season, he had however been set up to pitch game 5 had the Braves forced a decider. Huddy proved the Braves stopper again in Game 2 after Tim Lincecum had pitched his 14 strikeout complete game two-hitter; Tim went seven strong innings against the Giants number 2 ace Matt Cain without giving up an earned run. He earned his ‘ace’ tag over the season and it’s just a shame that he didn’t get the chance to pitch in a Game 5 and was denied the ability to play in his first League Championship Series. In what was an extremely challenged offence Brian McCann proved the rock in the middle of the line-up that he has been for the past 5 years. Whilst playing in all four games McCann posted a .429 batting average that included a go ahead home run in game four that looked, to all intents and purposes at the time, to have kept the Braves in the hunt. Nobody took the series loss harder than McCann as he continues to be one of the most underrated players in the game and the building block for any future success the Braves may have.

Apart from the ending of Bobby Cox’s legendary career the sad thing about the Braves postseason elimination is that never again will we find ourselves in this situation with a team like this. They were nowhere near the best team in the National League let only the Major Leagues but they were one of the hardest working and that was a quality nobody appreciated more than Bobby. After moves like the Mark Teixeira trade that began to make the Braves look like a faceless team of hired guns, this team was one of the most easily likeable Atlanta has had in a long time. Regardless of how it ended this season was unique and incredibly special and should not be forgotten by anyone.

Tuesday 5 October 2010

Whoda Thunk It?

For the first five months of the season Braves fans everywhere were lamenting the fact that Frank Wren hadn’t been able to trade Derek Lowe in the pre season. The 4.53 ERA Lowe posted through the end of August had the ever decreasing attendances at Turner Field wishing for just one more sighting of Javier Vazquez in a Braves uniform. In just five starts since the calendar flipped to September however something drastic changed with the man formerly known to some as ‘Lowdermort’. On September 3rd Lowe skipped a start to rest and rehabilitate an elbow that had some unwanted bone fragments floating around in it, that meant Braves Country got one last memory from Japanese import, soon to be Atlanta export, Kenshin Kawakami and everything looked gloomy. Then came the new Derek Lowe who, for the first time in his Atlanta career, earned the huge contract he received two years ago. September 8th D-Lowe went 6 innings and allowed one run, solid without being spectacular, September 13th however was. Over eight shutout innings Lowe allowed only 6 hits and struck out a career high 12 Nationals hitters in what became his season defining performance in the middle of his season defining month. In September Lowe pitched 30.2 innings allowing only four earned runs and, most importantly he achieved a 46 ground outs to only 15 fly outs, the kind of ratio that will always ensure success for Derek.

This is now success that the Braves will need him to provide as he goes into the post-season as the teams ace, a position that D-Lowe has earned this past month especially given Tim Hudson’s recent struggles including a 5.35 September ERA. Lowe has been to the post season six times, four with the Boston Red Sox and twice with the Los Angeles Dodgers, while Huddy has been four times with the Oakland Athletics and once with the Braves. This means that the Braves starters in games one and two both have extended play-off experience, Lowe is the only one however to have travelled beyond the division series advancing to the league championship series four times. D-Lowe also has the experience of pitching in the World Series having picked up a ring with the 2004 Red Sox. In 21 play-off games (10 starts) Derek has posted a 5-5 record with a 3.33 ERA, Hudson has pitched in 9 postseason games (8 starts) and gone 1-3 with a 3.97 ERA that includes going 0-1 with a 5.27 earned run average in 2 starts for the Braves back in 2005. It seemed a pretty obvious choice for Bobby to go with D-Lowe in game one especially against Lincecum to try and put the Braves up in the series and then hope Huddy returns to his early season brilliance in game two. The wild card (pun intended) is Tommy Hanson who will pitch game three at Turner Field, Tommy has been great down the stretch posting a 2.04 ERA in September and not allowing a run over five innings against the Phillies on Saturday. The Braves have much more post season experience in their rotation and one that is coming into the series hot, at this stage of the year you don’t need to be good you just have to win; Lowe and Hudson have done that an awful lot over the years.

Wednesday 29 September 2010

Better Late Than Never

After collecting a Major League best 25 last at bat wins why did any of us even consider that this Braves team might make it easy on us. After entering last week easily within striking distance of the NL East lead they proceeded to get swept in Philadelphia and drop two of three against the Washington Nationals. The black cloud that enveloped Braves country following the Nats series was all consuming and, despite only being half a game back in the wild card, it felt that the season had prematurely ended in the most depressing of ways. But it seemed like that in 25 games previously, the team was down and getting no offence before a timely contribution from an unlikely hero. Apparently the Braves had that script rewritten on a much larger scale. They entered the last month of the season a lock for the play-offs, they entered the final week of the season outside play-off position, were they disheartened? Downtrodden? Uninspired? Not in the slightest. In the span of 20 innings and two thirds of this Marlins series everything has changed.

It started on Monday with Tommy Hanson pitching like the ace he projects to be next year, he pitched 7 2/3 innings allowing five hits, no walks and a single earned run. Not that the offence gave him help as they scored 1 run while Tommy was in the game. This is something Hanson is starting to get used to, in 17 starts since the end of June Tommy has posted a 2.51 ERA and collected just three wins. A side note on that is how classy Tommy as been throughout it all, he has never complained, never sniped about it, he just goes out every 5 days and does his job. Even when Hanson left the game with two outs in the eighth, and with the possibility of pitching on three days’ rest on Friday, the team could not muster any runs until deep into the cold Atlanta night. When the moment came, as it repeatedly has late in games for the Braves, Omar Infante delivered as big a hit as he has all season driving Nate McLouth on a two out RBI single and somewhat softened the blow of losing Martin Prado. It also put the Braves into the wild care lead thanks to the Padres losing to the Cubs.

After the late drama Monday the second game of the series Tuesday night was a little less dramatic, but a whole lot more important. Once again starting pitching set the tone with staff ace Tim Hudson going on three days’ rest and spinning a gem, he went six innings and allowed only 1 run despite giving up 11 base runners. He wasn’t dominant but he was good enough to keep the Braves in the ball game and, in that situation, is all the management could ask for. Then came the explosive seventh inning that started with the introduction of young closer-in-waiting Craig Kimbrel, more on that later, followed by Melky Cabrera’s lead-off single that started the biggest rally of the Braves season. Following Alex Gonzalez’s sac bunt came Brooks Conrad who has turned the seventh inning and beyond into ‘Brooks time’ and, as he has done all year, he delivered a devastating RBI triple to right center field that tied the game. With Conrad stood on third Eric Hinske followed Brooks’ shot with one of his own that travelled higher and deeper and a long way out of the ballpark. As it sailed out Eric let out all the pent up emotion that has built up within all the Braves players, it was the big hit the team had needed all month.

The key however to these first two games against the fish has been the sterling work of the bullpen, and the use of it by Bobby Cox. This series especially has seen the bullpen used as if this was a play-off series and given hope that the season may end with Jonny Venters arm still attached to his body. Bobby as begun using match ups a lot more, using lefty’s like Michael Dunn against lefty hitters. What has impressed most about the bullpen has been the fireballing duo of Billy Wagner and the aforementioned Craig Kimbrel; they have so far combined to pitch three innings in this Marlins series, all when the game was on the line and have allowed no hit, no runs and struck out 8 of the 9 outs via strikeout. In September Wagner has pitched 11.1 innings without allowing an earned run, picking up 6 saves and striking out 20, the Wagner mini-me that Kimbrel has become has pitched 9.2 innings has not allowed an earned run either and has struck out 20 while only allowing 6 base runners (3 hits, 3 walks). The effectiveness of the bullpen has also been helped by Bobby’s realisation that Kyle Farnsworth should not pitch in any games outside of spring training.

The likelihood is that Hanson, Hudson and Lowe will all start the Phillies series on three days’ rest which means that, as impressive as the bullpen has been, it will have be even better for the season’s final four games. Great teams have great bullpens and win tight games; the Braves have ticked both boxes so far this week.

Saturday 28 August 2010

New Dawns

Some stories never seem to change (see the three team power trip of the AL East) several divisions in baseball have been dancing to a very different beat in 2010. As of this morning (Saturday 28th August) the six divisional leaders are: New York Yankees, Minnesota Twins, Texas Rangers, Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres. The Yankees, Twins and (historically) the Braves aren’t exactly strangers to the play-offs the Reds, Padres and Rangers haven’t been rushing to organise banner unveilings, in fact they only have a combined 2 play-off appearances this decade both by the Padres in 2005 and 2006. This year all three teams have found success in exactly the same mould; pitching, pitching and an MVP candidate.

San Diego Padres

San Diego trusted the season to a young and incredibly talented rotation from the very start and could not have imagined how successful it would turn out to be. Leading the way has been 22 year-old right handed sensation Mat Latos. Latos began the year as an incredibly talented but divisive prospect who had earned himself a reputation as a bad teammate, something that chiselled veterans like Heath Bell refused to tolerate. Latos admitted that in 2009: "I was so young, 21, and all the other guys were so much older than me, I felt like I kind of didn't fit in so I had to put up a wall almost and be by myself and be my own person and away from everybody else." Bell eventually had enough of the young Latos exploding in a dressing room rant that included him telling Latos: “You're a talented pitcher but we can make you that much better. You walk around here like you're a veteran thinking like you're somebody. You have to be humble. We have to work as a team." Whatever happened between that confrontation and the beginning of the 2010 season did make Latos a better pitcher, much better. Over the five months that have constituted the 2010 season the native Virginian has been dazzling, he is currently fourth in the NL and fifth in all of Major League Baseball with a 2.29 ERA and a league leading 0.98 WHIP. Usually it helps a team to see the back of a starter that good; when you’re playing against San Diego it is one of the most disheartening things that can happen in all of baseball. First out of the ‘pen is usually either Luke Gregerson or Mike Bell and if the opposition is still hanging around in the ninth inning that would single the arrival of the aforementioned Bell. The 6’3 220 pounder from Oceanside, California , which is about a 40 minute drive from Petco Park, has had by far the best year of his 7 year career. His previous best ERA mark was in 2007 when he posted a 2.02 mark in 81 games with 102 strikeouts while only being given 6 save opportunities, the position of closer being held by the imposing figure of the legendary Trevor Hoffman. This season Bell’s strikeouts will almost certainly be down, he’s currently at 73 and would need to appear in every remaining game and pick up a K in order to pass 2007, his WHIP is up from 0.96 in ’07 to 1.20 this year but he has seemingly learnt to be a more efficient pitcher, reducing the all important ERA from that previously mentioned and very impressive 2.02 to an astonishing 1.78 which is fourth best amongst Major League closers behind Mariano Rivera, Billy Wagner and Andrew Bailey.

Leading the Padres offensive output is, as always, Adrian Gonzalez. A-Gon leads the Padres in average (.296), homers (27), RBI’s (86), OBP (.388) and slugging percentage (520), he is the best player on the team in every offensive category, which makes him more important to his team than even Albert Pujols is to the Cardinals. At the beginning of the year the buzz surrounding Gonzalez was his importance to a play-off team, nobody thought it would be the Padres. The clever money was that he would be plying his trade a long, long way from his home town in the significantly more historic and successful surroundings of Fenway Park in Boston but, as this season has progressed, it became increasingly impossible for the Friars to send Gonzo anywhere other than his regular position at First Base. Oh by the way another footnote about the predicted trade to Boston: the Red Sox are 4.5 games out of first place in the AL East with a 74-55 records, the Padres are 6 games clear in the NL West with a 76-51 record. Importantly to the 2010 Padres is not what their super slugger has been accomplishing with the stick, it has been what he has achieved with the glove behind this pitching staff that need great, not good, but great defence. Gonzalez has a .996 fielding percentage which, amongst Padres with more than 500 innings ranks third on the team, the defensive skills that the San Diego native provides is much more important than any home run he has hit this year (well, almost). For all the sabermatricians out there that Gonzalez’s season has resulted in a +4.7 WAR (wins above replacement) basically the difference between San Diego’s record and that of the Boston Red Sox.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds, like the Padres, were a team that were largely expected to fade away as the season progressed, well in case you missed it they didn’t. Unlike San Diego they don’t exactly have the one dominating pitcher but what they have had is a rotation that has remained consistent throughout. For the first two months of the season their ace was 2009 eighth overall pick Mike Leake, the pitcher who the Reds rated good enough to skip the minor leagues entirely. The first three months of the season saw the 22-year-old compile an impressive 3.30 ERA that included a 1.88 mark through the month of May. Unfortunately since then his lack of experience has begun to take its toll on him, with a 4.56 ERA in July and an unfortunate 8.83 in August before ending up on the 15 day DL with shoulder fatigue, a side effect of the 138 innings that Leake has thrown so far this season. While the former Arizona State star has slowly fatigued he had done more than enough in the early part of the season to keep the Reds in the mix. Luckily for Cincinnati the loss of Leake hasn’t been felt nearly as much as it could have been given the improvement in Bronson Arroyo who began the year about as badly as he possibly could going 1-2 in the month of April with a 6.37 ERA. Ever since April everything has been going down, in the best possible way, the four succeeding months has produced chronological ERA marks of; 3.89, 3.60, 2.81 and 2.73, that has left him with an impressive season mark of 3.82. The work of the identical twins has been supplemented by an unimpressive but consistent season from the enigma of Johnny Cueto who’s season has been somewhat overshadowed by the unfortunate events at Great American Ballpark back on August 10th. When he has decided to use his hands instead of his feet he has been as efficient as Dusty Baker could every have hoped for. The bad news for the Reds has far as Cueto goes is he alternates good and bad months, as shown by his ERA splits for the season.

Month

ERA

April

5.33

May

1.59

June

4.54

July

2.01

August

4.43

This means that, even though he may have a successful run down the stretch during which he could help secure Cincinnati’s first division title since 1995 it would be wise for Dusty to avoid pitching him at any point during October.

While the Padres are able to boast the outstanding hitting ability of Adrian Gonzalez it has been bettered in every category in 2010 by the Reds triple-crown threat Joey Votto. Both players lead their respective teams in every offensive category but, unlike his San Diego counterpart, Votto plays on a much better hitting team and also unlike Gonzalez the Reds first baseman is close to the top of the league in all categories. He is first in average, joint second in homers, second in RBI’s, first in OBP and second in slugging percentage. The categories that Votto places second in he ranks behind only Albert Pujols, the reigning NL MVP who also happens to play on the Reds biggest division rival. Despite the success of the Reds pitching staff the momentum that the slightly smaller Red machine has been riding this season has been completely driven by the size of Votto’s bat. While the presence of Albert will make any attempt at the triple crown a distant dream it would be very difficult for any honest judge to vote Votto as the 2010 NL MVP, especially if the Reds hang onto the division.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers rotation has been anchored by perhaps the two obscurest starting pitchers to have thrown a pitch in 2010. CJ Wilson was a career reliever who had a career year for the Rangers in 2009 with a very impressive 2.81 ERA in a career high 78.2 innings pitched that included 14 saves. Somewhere in the deep Texas heat Wilson reinvented himself before he threw seven shutout innings in Toronto in his first career start since 2005. When the Rangers looked to CJ to provide a solid fourth or fifth starter he gave them something more like the performance that Ron Washington hoped his ace could provided, well until July 9th Wilson became the Rangers ace. The 3.02 ERA that Wilson has posted this year doesn’t accurately reflect the incredible season that the 29 year-old has had, his six starts in May have unfortunately inflated his ERA by at least half a run. On that basis Wilson could actually be sporting maybe a 2.52 ERA or a little more realistically maybe 2.72, imagine if it did sit at 2.72 how much more attention would he be receiving nationally? The most impressive aspect about Wilson’s season has been that he achieved all of thin in 164 innings which, if you’ve been paying attention boys and girls, is 91 more than any season before. His partner in crime has been the farmhand built, University of Alabama schooled Tommy Hunter whose 6’3 280 pound frame is rivalled only by CC Sabathia for most unlikely bodied big leaguer. Hunter, however unlikely, has achieved something that not even the great Nolan Ryan achieved; starting a Major League season going 8-0, Hunter had a realistic chance to go 9-0 before blowing a 5 run lead against the LA Angels. Hunter has been the prototypical prospect, improving every year he has been in the big leagues and is the type of young man we are going to see coming through the Nolan Ryan lead Rangers; big, strong, incredibly durable and above all else a winner. His 3.66 ERA while impressive is not as dazzling as that of Wilson but his 11-2 record displays and incredible ability for keeping his team in the game. That is nearly 400 words written about the Texas Rangers pitching rotation and I haven’t even mentioned Cliff Lee, the best pitcher in the whole of the American League, maybe even all of baseball. Lee hasn’t been as impressive in Texas as he was previously in Seattle but that doesn’t change the reason the Rangers acquired the former Cy Young winner: the play-offs.

What Gonzalez and Votto have done for their respective teams is impressive but doesn’t even come close to the achievements of the Raleigh hitting machine that is Josh Hamilton. When Hamilton burst onto the scene at the 2008 All-Star home run derby everyone expected him to dominate in 2009, well better late than never. 2010 has been the year of Hamilton, he has torched every pitcher he has seen this year making landing himself in the top five in every American League category. The marks that he will put up this year will be career highs in every aspect most impressively average (.358) and one base percentage (.410). The statistics say a lot about Hamiliton’s ability but little about his character. When he was picked first in the 1999 baseball draft Josh had the world at his feet, then came the alcohol and the drugs that dropped Hamilton off the end of the baseball map. The road that he has taken since his fall into vice makes the pressure of a play-off seen like a work in the park for Hamilton, something that should make it easier for him to lead the Rangers to their first play-off birth since 1999.

All three of these teams were not expected to be in this position back in April but, with on the strength of some brilliant pitching and with one outstanding player all three should make deep and meaningful runs into October, as unexpected as they would be.

Information used in this piece taken from an excellent article written by Jorge Arangure jr over at ESPN, read it http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=5460639

Friday 13 August 2010

Can Conrad Carry Braves?


When Chipper Jones fell to the ground in foul territory at Houston’s Minute Maid Park on Tuesday night it would have been easy for the Braves to lose momentum and crumple in the same way the franchise legend had, to their credit nobody allowed that to happen on Tuesday or Wednesday but Chipper’s injury is going to affect far more than just the Astros series. The Chipper that got hurt was not the .251 hitter that had plagued the Braves line-up for the first four months of the season, whether it was the intensifying pennant chase, the benefit of being healthy for a couple of consecutive weeks (irony) or just finally seeing the ball well, something had happened to Chipper in the month of August, in the nine games Jones had played this month he was hitting .400 with 3 homers. Whilst the improved average was a major improvement for Chipper the power surge was the most significant statistic of the month, not just for Jones but the Braves, the most homers he had hit in a single month so far in 2010 prior to August was 2. To top that in just nine was a significant boost for the 38-year-old third baseman, finding the power swing that could have propelled the team into the play-offs, unfortunately that won’t happen now. Do the Braves have other options, or at least viable one’s to fill in for Chipper at third.

The best option for the Braves is Omar Infante the do it all utility man with the robust .330 average who has an All-Star selection to his name, problem with Infante is he will be playing second base until next week at the earliest covering for another All-Star Martin Prado. So now the team is facing an absolutely huge series against the Dodgers (who spent Thursday night trying to infuriate Braves fan everywhere) without a top quality third baseman. Brooks Conrad will likely be the individual filling the void left by Chipper but, despite his regular late game heroics, he will be a bigger black hole than even when Jones was at his worst. The most at-bats Conrad has had in a month so far this year is 33, Chipper’s monthly low before August was 61, a figure that cannot be overlooked. Brooks is a bench player, one who has carved his little piece of Braves folklore yes, but a bench player all the same. He will now be vaulted into the position of replacing the second best player in franchise history in a series that, even though it is in mid-August, could go a long way to deciding who had the inside track in the race for the NL East. It has been the role players like Conrad that have carried this team to its 66 wins so far, in Chippers absence they will need the carry them to a significant number more. This weekend will go a long way to deciding how magic the 2010 Braves truly are.

Monday 9 August 2010

Minor Gets Major Opportunity


Tonight Mike Minor becomes the latest in a long line of top Braves pitching prospects being promoted from Triple-A to the big time. Minor may go on to have a long and successful career but the longest journeys always begin with the smallest step. The latest prospects being promoted have all scuffled and stumbled and tried their hardest to fall at that first step, some straightened up and are now running others fell at a later step, the Braves debut still appears somewhat of a poisoned chalice. This marks the fourth year that a highly touted Braves pitching prospect has made the jump from AAA to the big leagues with seriously mixed results.

It all began when the Braves has a spare key to the franchise cut for a young lefty drafted in the second round of the 2003 draft who made his Major League debut in July of 2007. His name was Jo-Jo Reyes. Long before the tag of farmhand was attached to Reyes and well before he was an afterthought in a mid-season trade both then-GM and manager Bobby Cox believed Reyes could be the next big thing in Atlanta. After his promotion to Triple-A Richmond (remember those days) he threw just 23 innings but posted a 1.57 ERA with 27 strikeouts, this convinced the organisation that the 22-year-old was ready to pitch in Atlanta, he was called up on July 7th to start in place of the injured John Smoltz against the San Diego Padres and David Wells. The first inning went well enough Jo-Jo it was the second that the trouble started as Reyes gave up a solo homer to Khalil Greene, he would last barely an inning more giving up five earned runs in five hits and three walks while recording only one strikeout.

Next up for the Braves production line was the debut of James Parr, a fourth round pick in the 2004 draft. Despite being such a high pick Parr, like Reyes before him, worked the farm for the Braves progressing to AAA without ever dominating the same way the Jo-Jo had before him. In the Minor Leagues in 2008, prior to his September call-up, Parr remained solid without ever being outstanding, he made 28 appearances and 26 starts compiling 150.2 innings and a solid 3.52 ERA. He made his debut in Atlanta on September 4th 2008 against the Washington Nationals as the Braves neared the end of another disappointing season. Parr burst onto the scene in exactly the way they had hoped Reyes to. In six innings Parr allowed only two hits and no runs earning his first Major League win in the Braves 2-0 victory over the Nationals.

2009 was the year that really began to shape the future of the Braves, both as a franchise and as pitching rotation. At the beginning of the season Tommy Hanson had climbed to the top of the Braves rankings but began the season at AAA Gwinnett along with Kris Medlen. It was a surprise to many that Medlen was the first to make his major league debut in what was supposed to be a spot start prior to Tom Glavine’s return to the Atlanta rotation. Despite the surprise an argument could have been made that Medlen deserved the start more than his more heralded friend having posted a 1.19 ERA at Gwinnett compared to Hanson’s 1.49. Medlen stepped onto the mound in Atlanta for the first time on May 21st 2009 against the Colorado Rockies, a game Kris would later look back on as one of the most embarrassing moments of his baseball life. He lasted a Reyes-like three innings giving up 5 earned runs on 3 hits while walking five batters, a stat that ended up killing a debutant Medlen.

Hanson would make his debut barely two weeks after Medlen after Braves GM Frank Wren made himself the most unpopular man in Atlanta by cutting Tom Glavine prior to his scheduled comeback start. Unfortunately this made Hanson’s debut considerably less celebrated than it should have been as the top right-handed pitching prospect in the game. Whether or not this fact affected Tommy he became the second debuting pitcher to fall flat his first time in the Majors. Hanson pitched six innings striking out five which would have looked a lot more impressive if he hadn’t given up six earned runs that included three home runs.

Unlike his predecessors Minor does have the luxury of making his debut away from Atlanta in the relative obscurity of Minute Maid Park in Houston. To succeed Minor has to do exactly what has worked for him in his rise through the minor leagues, something that Reyes, Medlen and Hanson all got away from. As unfortunate as Medlen’s injury was, and as bad as it is for the Braves, it could turn out to be a blessing in disguise if Minor is able to repay the faith the organisation showed in him when they selected him with the seventh overall pick last year. Even half a Strasburg would be a success.

Friday 6 August 2010

47 and 48: More Than Numbers



Tonight is going to be one of those magical evenings that Turner Field has been increasingly providing thanks to a rise in players retiring and wins. The lucky few that attended the honorary luncheon and the 40,000+ friends in attendance at Turner Field tonight will all have been part of the most momentous evening in the Braves recent history. When the number 47 is unveiled in the Braves Hall of Fame, which itself is slowly catching that of the Yankees, it will signal the end of two of the greatest eras in sports history: the 14 consecutive divisions and Tom Glavine’s career. A career that started in 1987, two years before I was born, officially ends just before first pitch is thrown against the San Francisco Giants tonight with Glavine being the seventh number to be retired by the Atlanta Braves. He joins last year’s inductee and former teammate Greg Maddux (31) as well as Hank Aaron (44), Eddie Mathews (41), Warren Spahn (21), Dale Murphy (3), and Phil Niekro (35).

In a twist of poetic irony it will be the Braves current number 48 Tommy Hanson starting tonight in what could be seen as one of the most poignant torch passing’s of recent years. While Jason Heyward catching the season’s first pitch, thrown by Hank Aaron, was a piece of stage management rarely seen in the city outside of the Fox theatre tonight was hardly designed as Tommy Hanson’s coming out party, it may just end up that way. 47 being retired the same night that 48 is on the mound just happens to be one of those beautiful consequences that occasionally happens in sports but there is a lot about Glavine’s career that Braves fans should remember every time they see Tommy Hanson. In his rookie year Hanson posted a 2.89 ERA which Glavine bettered only twice in his career and it took him 5 years to put up a 2.55 ERA in 1992 and that, in case you were wondering, is before the boom in performance enhancers. Glavine’s rookie season consisted of only 50 innings, not exactly a large amount of data, so his first full season in 1988 is much better to compare to the work that Tommy Hanson has done in his young career so far. In 34 starts Glavine went 7-17 (yes that is the right way round Tom lost 17 games) while putting up a 4.56 ERA in 195 innings. Hanson made 22 starts in his rookie season with the aforementioned 2.89 ERA and an 11-4 record while completing 127 innings. His second season hasn’t exactly matched his achievements of 2009 and that hasn’t gone unnoticed, Tommy has put up a 3.83 ERA and a mediocre 8-8 record in almost exactly the same number of innings but one more start, in comparison Glavine’s second full season saw a 3.68 ERA a 14-8 record in 29 starts, or 186 innings.

What all those numbers prove is that even the Braves greatest product, Tom Glavine, needed an amount of time to adjust the league he would go on to dominate. Even though Hanson has seemed to struggle this season he is still posting numbers significantly better than a young 47 produced or would produce until his fifth year in the league. So when I or any other Braves fan complains about Tommy Hanson’s 2010 season and wonder what’s wrong we need to remember that he has been better than one of the 7 best players in Braves history. Well, for two of twenty-one years at least.

Monday 5 July 2010

5 Star Season Continues for Braves


The 2010 season has been one that this group of Braves will likely never forget and, for five members of the team, it just got a whole lot better. The July 4th announcement that there will be five Atlanta Braves on the National League All-Star roster capped what has been an outstanding first half of the season for the team with the second best record in the NL. The five selected were Martin Prado, Brian McCann, Tim Hudson, Jason Heyward and Omar Infante, a list that includes both deserving and surprising selections with only Heyward making onto the team via fan vote. So how did each of these five end up bound for Anaheim and a place amongst baseballs best?

Prado

Ever since Bobby Cox named the 26-year-old Venezuelan as Braves second baseman around the All-Star break last year Prado has repaid the faith shown in him with interest. Having spent the first three and a half years of his Major League career as a useful utility player he seized his opportunity to start with both hands, ending 2009 with his .307 average good enough for second amongst the regular roster. That was just a preview of what the 2010 version of Martin Prado would be. Coming in with the starting job already his and as an established member of the team he has lit up pitching from both leagues while compiling an NL best .335 average with a league leading 116 hits. If he continues to hit this way through the second half of the season he will accumulate well over 200 hits and should be in the voting for league MVP. This has all been achieved while stabilising the Braves lead-off spot and committing only 3 errors all year. Despite only starting in the All-Star game because of Chase Utley’s injury it continues an incredible season that will allow Martin’s mother, visiting form Venezuela for the first time, to see her son be an All-Star.

Heyward
It was predicted at an early stage in the 20-year-old slugger’s career that he would go to many All-Star games but very few thought he would make his very first in his first year in the big leagues. Despite his average now looking much more like that of a rookie (.251) his regression appears to be linked to the thumb injury he sustained sliding into third base back on May 14th. Heyward went into that game with a .301 average, 8 home runs, and a gaudy .1044 OPS, none of which look anything like the rookie J-Hey was supposed to be. This is the Heyward that made the All-Star game, the one whose home run trot was more like a gallop, who came up time and again with clutch hits late in the game and who electrified the City of Atlanta. The struggles he encountered ever since going head first against Arizona did not affect the fans reaction to one of the most talented young players of this generation, not even a .181 average in June could do that. Since the announcement of the ASG teams Heyward has confirmed he would consider taking his place in right field at Angel Stadium if his thumb has fully recovered, it would only add to the growing mythology of the young man if he made his triumphant return as an All-Star.

Hudson

This time last year Tim Hudson was rehabbing his surgically repaired elbow following a successful Tommy John procedure, neither he nor Braves officials knew if he would be able to return as an effective member of the rotation. Hudson returned in August and pitched seven games that impressed GM Frank Wren enough to reward him with a new contract and position in the Braves starting five. Much like Prado the 3.61 ERA Hudson posted last year was just a prelude to the dazzling form produced in the first half of this season; Hudson has gone 8-4 with a 2.44 ERA and held opponents to a .221 average against him. He has also compiled an astonishing 114.1 innings so far and would be on pace to exceed 220 innings pitched, a regular occurrence before the elbow troubles that lead to the surgeons table. Hudson may not be putting on the kind of show that Ubaldo Jimenez and Josh Johnson have been but when you take into account his recovery from surgery and the return he has made Hudson is as deserving of an All-Star selection as any of the younger pitchers in what is an extremely strong pitching year for the National League.

McCann


While not impressing in the way he has in his previous four All-Star years Brian McCann has none the less made it to his fifth consecutive ASG but has, once again, missed out on a starting spot after losing the public vote to the Cardinals Yadier Molina. McCann’s .265 average and 10 home runs don’t display the excellence at the plate that the Georgia native has displayed in the past the qualities that have been on display were enough to convince NL manager Charlie Manual that McCann was worth a spot on the team. The catcher has developed into one of the best leaders in the National League despite battling vision problems and a lack of production he has shouldered other burdens and moulded himself into a model professional. McCann hasn’t improved as a defensive catcher in the way it was hoped, posting a career low fielding percentage that could also be blamed on his troublesome eyes, but his handling of the pitching staff is improving at an incredible rate. The pitching staff, as a unit, has posted a 3.67 team ERA which is the fourth best in the National League and fifth best in the Majors, a tribute to the work that Brian puts in with the talented hurlers he catches, and none will be more talented than those on the National League roster.

Infante

The most surprising and controversial All-Star of at least the last decade was the utility man that Bobby Cox likes so much. In many regards Omar Infante is in exactly the same position that Martin Prado found himself in this time last year, he is playing considerably better than someone in his spot on the diamond (Yunel Escobar), has impressed managers and reporters repeatedly with his work ethic and production and is loved by the majority of Braves nation. Whether that results in an All-Star calibre player is a debate raging amongst the smartest people in baseball at the moment, or at least the ones that have the pens, but is not affecting the second most popular Venezuelan on the Braves roster. Infante has hit .309 in 57 games so far this year and is continuing the steady improvement he has shown in the three years since he arrived in Atlanta from Detroit, he hit .293 in 2008 improving to .305 last year before bettering that in the first half of 2010. Regardless of your opinion as to his inclusion on the NL roster it was a pleasant surprise for Infante and the Braves best summed up by the man himself when talking to Dave O’Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

“I got a call from Frank Wren, and the first thought I had was that I got traded,I was kind of nervous and choked up. By the time Frank told me I was going to the All-Star game, I thought he was joking around. It took, like, five minutes for me to realize I’m going to the All-Star game.”

Infante’s selection only goes to prove that in this crazy season anything could happen for the Atlanta Braves.

Wednesday 30 June 2010

The End and The Start


Whit Merrifield had gone 1-for-9 with 1 RBI in the first nineteen innings of the College World Series Finals, this was a guy who had hit over .320 in the regular season and had made himself a ninth round draft pick. For Merrifield and his superstar teammate Jackie Bradley jr the Finals series had been one big struggle that every was becoming more and more frustrating for themselves and their fans. When Merrifield ripped a 2-0 Dan Klein fastball down the right field line to bring home Scott Wingo the teams stuggles with runners in scoring position were all forgotten, by bringing home the winning run Merrifield brought home the Gamecocks first major national championship and gave the magical Johnny Rosenblatt Stadium a fitting send-off after sixty memorable years hosting the College World Series.

The success the Gamecocks encountered at Omaha should not have been as much of a surprise, after all USC came a game away from winning the Southeastern Conference and finished the year ranked between 7 and 10 in the four major polls. Despite their success it never seemed conceivable to most people that the Gamecocks could actually win this thing, especially after looking so vulnerable in losing their first game to Oklahoma and then squeezing by the Sooners in an elimination game. When they did squeeze past the powerful Oklahoma team something happened to South Carolina. They began to believe. Having been carried for a lot of the year by outstanding sophomore Jackie Bradley and the pitching of Sam Dyson and Blake Cooper the rest of the team began performing. Regardless whether that was Brady Thomas’ game winning RBI against the Sooners, Bobby Haney having a brief offensive explosion or even Wingo working the work in the final inning of the season, everybody contributed.

In the Finals nobody contributed more than senior starter Blake Cooper who pitched twice on three days’ rest and seemed to be getting better every time he did it. Having thrown 97 pitches against Oklahoma and allowing only one run in 5.2 innings Cooper expressively asked Coach Ray Tanner for the responsibility of pitching game one in what would be his final college appearance. Cooper saved his very best for his very last. In the 136 dazzling pitches that came out of Coppers right hand only four resulted in a base runner while ten resulted in dominating strikeouts of a very disciplined offensive team. In opposition to the SC senior was UCLA sophomore stud starter Gerrit Cole who struck out 13 in his last start and looks even better than when the New York Yankees drafted him in the first round in 2008. In opposition to a genuine college superstar Cooper gave eight innings of one run ball and gave the Gamecocks the inspirational performance that can define a short series.

Then came the second game of the finals and one of the best games of baseball played in recent memory. It began with more wonderful pitching, first by Michael Roth and the second round draft pick Rob Rasmussen. By the way all three of UCLA’s aces will be big stars in the Major Leagues, Cole, Rasmussen and Trevor Bauer have all given performances of the highest calibre throughout the College World Series and the regular season. USC were given impressive performances from an all reliever group last night, with Roth starting and giving 5 innings or 1 run ball followed by Jose Mata, Tyler Webb and John Taylor not allowing the Bruins onto the scoreboard for 3.1 innings. After that it became a battle of closers, and they were two of the best. Dan Klein gave one of the bravest, toughest performances in the highest pressure situations imaginable. Unfortunately for the UCLA club Klein slowly began wearing out around 50 pitches only to be left in for 23 more and, against the rapidly emerging Matt Price of the ’Cocks didn’t stand a chance.

As Klein tired into the eleventh Wingo worked a walk for the ages with an at-bat of the highest quality, he advanced to second on Steve Rodriguez’s only lapse in concentration of the day for a passed ball and then got to third on Evan Marzilli’s sac bunt. That set up Whit Merrifield to indelibly etch himself into South Carolina and College World Series history. For giving Rosenblatt the send-off it deserved both UCLA and South Carolina should be commended and remembered regardless of whether they make it to the new stadium next year. With the end of the stadiums era comes the dawn of a new time in Gamecock history, and it couldn’t have been any better.

Saturday 26 June 2010

Unlikely Heroes for an Unlikely Season

Having been lambasted for the majority of his first season in charge, especially after the John Smoltz and Tom Glavine debacles, Frank Wren is all of a sudden looking like a baseball genius. Having assembled a roster for only $84.4 million in a division that includes the New York Mets carrying a $134.4 million payroll and the reigning NL champ Phillies signing a cheque for $141.9 million, the Braves GM has seen his Costco club accumulate the joint most wins in the National League so far in 2010. This hasn’t been done on the back of Chipper Jones and Brian McCann’s bats or the pitching of Derek Lowe, the success of the 2010 Atlanta team has been built on unlikely heroes and shock stars.

The most unlikely of all the Braves heroes but the one that has maybe contributed more than any other to the teams winning ways has been Brooks Conrad, who made his debut with the team last year as a 29-year-old rookie. Conrad is a throwback to a time long before the major league stadiums he plies his trade in where even a twinkle in an architect’s eye, a time before steroids and million dollar contracts. Conrad served hard time in the minor leagues, not playing a major league game until 2008 with the Oakland A’s. He still has no interest in those funny pieces of cloth most other players call batting gloves, preferring instead to just load his bottom lip with gum or, maybe more appropriately, tobacco. Whichever his favored chew happens to be, it is working. In Oakland he played 6 games with that Athletics team collecting only 3 hits in 19 at bats. He contributed significantly more for the Braves in ’09, most famously receiving a classic “silent treatment” following his first big league home run. His previous lack of big league experience has been forgotten this year with the utility infielder being the Braves biggest producer in the clutch, especially during May and June as the Braves put together their run to first place in the National League East. Whether it was hitting the walk off grand slam against Cincinnati on May 20th or dropping down a game winning squeeze bunt on June 12th in Minnesota, Brooks has continued to find himself right in the middle of Atlanta’s most dramatic moments of 2010.

Conrad has not been alone in bringing life to the Atlanta offense through the first three months of the season, with two of the teams other big producers not making it regularly into Bobby Cox’s starting team. While Brian McCann has struggled with the vision problems that have plagued the last two years of his life someone had to take up the catchers job and nobody could have imagined David Ross would achieve the success he has. Having split the first seven years of his career between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Cincinnati Reds the Georgia native landed with the Braves as McCann’s back-up for the 2009 season and was an instant upgrade from Corky Miller or Clint Sammons, compiling a very respectable .273 batting average in 54 games. So far in 2010 he has surpassed the standard he set for himself last year and done it in a far more important role with a .281 average and obscene .409 on base percentage. Ross has been the insurance for Mac that the Braves have lacked the previous 3 or 4 years. Unlike the back-up catcher former American League Rookie of the Year Eric Hinske was not assured of a place on a major league roster at the conclusion of 2009. Coming off the back of 3 World Series trips Hinske seems to have become baseballs equivalent to a four leaf clover, one that Wren found impossible to ignore. While his career may not have blossomed in the manner many hoped when he burst onto the scene in 2002 with the Toronto Blue Jays but he has developed a knack of being around, and contributing to, winning teams in more ways than can be measured in statistics. The Wisconsin native brings with him the attitude and temperament that is often found in successful ball clubs, the relaxed confidence of a player that knows success. If you watch any Braves game Hinske is repeatedly first to either a celebration or a commiseration, with all his experience in the bigs he knows most situations and his consoling arm or joyful hug has instilled a similar attitude in the young Braves players that has won the former Arkansas Razorback three consecutive American League rings. Add to that his .309 Batting Average and five home runs for only $1 million and Eric has been the kind of cheap producing winner that has defined the General Managers grand plan.

While the big stories have been those at the dish the 2010 season has turned up some unexpected pitching superstars for an Atlanta team that was built on its pitching. With Jair Jurrjens nursing a hamstring injury for the majority of the season and Kenshin Kawakami and Derek Lowe nursing chronic cases of inconsistency the 5 ace rotation was suddenly down to 2. If you include Tommy Hanson suffering some problems on a worryingly regular basis then Tim Hudson was left as the Braves only reliable starter only nine months removed from his return from Tommy John surgery. Because of the rotation depth Kris Medlen began the season as one of the Braves most dependable relievers, having grown into that role during the 2009 season. Following Jurrjens’ lengthy trip to the disabled list Medlen was asked to do slightly more than relief pitching, but not much. The young Californian was asked to simply keep the Braves in games while taking up maybe five or six innings. In his nine starts since his promotion to the rotation he has done much more than been efficient, he had been outstanding. Including his spell in the bullpen he has put together an outstanding 3.15 ERA while already pitching more innings this year than he did in all of 2009, another unexpected player who has taken the unexpected responsibility and grown into one of the most important pieces in the Braves armoury. Unfortunately for Kris he is facing some uncertainty over his future with the impending return of Jair Jurrjens from the DL JJ has been pencilled in to make his first start back on Wednesday, Medlen’s next scheduled start. The idea of Kawakami retaining a spot in the starting 5 and Medlen not has been widely accepted as ludicrous, but, with the Japanese hurler being one of the few Braves paid big bucks ($7,333,666 to be precise) it is very possible that KK may stay and see out his contract in the rotation. This Braves team has not been built on money but the talent of its young players supplemented by some scrappy veterans, if they are to stay true to their philosophy Medlen MUST continue toeing the rubber as a starter every five days.

One man who simply has to stay in the bullpen is the 25-year-old rookie sensation Jonny Venters. The Kentucky native arrived unheralded after putting together a 1.35 ERA in just 6.2 innings at AAA Gwinnett, he was called up to replace Jo-Jo Reyes after Jo-Jo exhausted chance number 37 with the Major League team. Venters first appearance was somewhat overshadowed by Ubaldo Jimenez’s no-hitter at Turner Field on April 17th but what Jonny did that night laid the foundation for what has grown into a rookie year comparable to any other rookie reliever, and that includes Nationals darling Drew Storen. Of players with more than 10 innings pitched Venters’ 1.44 ERA is second to only Billy Wagner (1.19) and he is third in stirkeouts for relievers with 36 in 31.1 innings pitched. While lowering his ERA Venters has only increased the trust that Bobby Cox has in him with Jonny now having been used more than any other reliever, quite a heavy climb for a man no one spoke about in Spring Training. While a lot of talk early in the year centred on 21-year-old Craig Kimbrel being the heir apparent to Wagner as the Braves closer-in-waiting it has been Venters who now looks favorite to succeed the potential hall-of-famer when he hangs it up following this season. Whether he becomes the Braves fireman in 2011 and beyond or not Venters is displaying all the pitching ability that would make him an integral part of any Atlanta success for many years to come. Billy Wagner commented that after facing Venters he’d seen "some of the best hitters walking back to the dugout, like someone killed their dog,"

The players that have formed the nebulous of the Braves success so far in 2010 have all marked a huge swing in the organisations philosophy, even Bobby has caught on. This is has become a scrappy team that plays hard and, most importantly, wins. The calling of squeeze plays coupled with the extraordinary amount of walk off wins the Braves have accumulated in the season’s first three months just go to show the heart and never-say-die attitude of a team that even Chipper Jones acknowledged has, in the last few years, carried “guys who wanted to be somewhere else”. Well not anymore. This version of the Atlanta Braves is one built for success. Tim Hudson said it best in a recent USA Today article: "Our fans haven't had a lot to cheer about the last three, four years, we're giving them something to be proud of. I'm not saying we have it all figured out, but we know we're pretty good. We also know we're having a whole lot of fun."


Thursday 24 June 2010

Future for Fredi


With the firing of Fredi Gonzalez by the Florida Marlins yesterday the waters surrounding the 2011 Atlanta Braves managerial job cleared. Fredi spent four years in the Braves system earlier this decade, working at the Double-A Richmond manager in 2002 before moving to the big league third base coach job from 2003 to 2006, and became very close to Bobby Cox and several other members of the Braves coaching staff during his time in Atlanta. In fact Gonzalez still keeps his family home in the Atlanta suburb of Marietta, barely 45 minutes from Turner Field.

After leaving the Braves in 2007 to take up the Florida Marlins managerial job Fredi struggled in his first year back in his hometown of Miami, going 71-91 in a somewhat transitional season for the Fish. Over the next two years Florida improved dramatically winning 84 games in 2008 and then 87 last year missing the play-offs by only 5 games, all the while Fredi was manufacturing this one the lowest payrolls in baseball. The wins the were accumulated under Gonzalez (the most by a manager in Marlins history) are a testament to his ability as a player manager, one who squeezed every ounce of potential out of his players whom he trusted wholly. Remind you of anyone?

Despite his success with such limited resources Marlins owner Jeffry Loria felt that Gonzalez’s teams had underachieved, by not being one of the twelve teams that have made the play-offs during his career with Florida. Loria is the same owner that openly schmoozed former Mets manager Bobby Valentine in the off season to potentially replace Gonzalez; it suddenly appears that Loria may actually get his wish after Marlins club president David Samson confirmed that almost the second Fredi closed the door behind him Marlins management were on the phone to Valentine to try and sell him on their franchise. Not that Loria would be getting anything much more successful with the hiring of Valentine, the ESPN analyst is a lifetime 1,117-1,072 with one World Series appearance. At the Texas Rangers, a slightly more comparable organisation than the Mets, he was an unimposing 581-605. That’s right even Bobby Valentine was under .500 at an average team with little money. The Marlins also dealt with a situation earlier this year that cast Gonzalez in a better light than any potential replacement.

When superstar shortstop Hanley Ramirez booted a live ball earlier this year before lazily wandering after it Gonzalez earned the respect of everyone in the baseball community with the way he handled a potentially explosive situation. Hanley was benched, whined like a spoilt brat and later apologised to Fredi and the rest of the Marlins organisation. The manner in which he handled the Ramirez situation highlights everything good about Fredi, his class, consistency, calm and respect. These traits are ones that many major league manners would be the better for possessing. Unsurprisingly it was his players that summed his departure up best, first baseman Gaby Sanchez felt that the team “let him down” while Chris Coughlan, the outstanding young outfielder said “He was a good man, a good manager. He believed in me. He stood for integrity. He was somebody that had your back.”

With every eulogy for his time in Miami the 46 year-old Cuban sounds more and more like his mentor back in Atlanta. The idea has already been floated that he may be brought in by the Braves as a special coach or assistant, this would be the best thing for the team to do in my opinion. This would mean that the Braves would have three of the top managerial candidates inside the organisation before Bobby has started packing his things. Whether it will be Fredi Gonzalez, Eddie Perez or Terry Pendleton there is the potential to piece together the best coaching staff in the game.

Monday 7 June 2010

Braves Draft Falling into Place


While the Braves do not have a first round pick they were able to pick up the 35th pick of the draft in the first supplemental round thanks to the Baltimore Orioles picking up Mike Gonzalez in free agency. The Braves history in the draft is of picking high school kids and taking a lot of pitchers which has worked incredibly well, just look at the success of some high school guys that came to the Braves, guys like Chipper Jones, Adam Wainwright, Jason Marquis and, most recently Jason Heyward. Despite the success of the Braves regular strategy I don’t think they will go down that route tonight. For starters the organisation has already said they are happy with the stable of pitchers already inside the system and there is a noticeable lack of young bats in the minor league teams, and even guys like Jordan Schafer and Freddie Freeman aren’t developing the way the front office would like. So it’s a consensus opinion that the Braves will take a hitter with the 35th pick and very likely with the 53rd pick as well. I also think the Braves will be way more interested in taking an older college player having seen the collapse of someone like Jeff Francouer from High School and the success of Tommy Hanson and Kris Medlen, both of whom were taken out of Community College out in California. History also points to the Braves taking outstanding High School players from Georgia, of which there are none currently on the radar, so the extra video and maturity of College players will appeal to Frank Wren a lot more than a long shot High School player. So with all that I wanted to take a look at who the Braves could realistically take tonight, I am not in any way going to try and say the Braves could end up with Bryce Harper or Zach Cox but I came up with four names that should be right at the top of the Atlanta draft board.

The most interesting name for the Braves is just a Jason Heyward home run distance from Turner Field and that young man is Georgia Tech shortstop Derek Dietrich who has dazzled with the bat in his junior season with the Yellow Jackets. Out of High School Dietrich was selected in the third round by the Houston Astros but his stock is significantly higher than back in 2007 after playing three years in one of the best Conferences in NCAA baseball. Dietrich hit .332 with 14 home runs in his freshman season before he suffered a relative sophomore slump last year in his sophomore year dropping 21 points from his average and only hitting 10 home runs. After spending the summer playing in the wood bat Cape Cod League the Ohio native ripped through ACC pitching hitting .352 and 16 homers in his best year since High School. Dietrich is a highly talented hitter but there are some reservations about his ability with the wooden bat, especially in regard to the power numbers, but he should overcome this with time in the minors thanks to his good hitting mechanics. Dietrich is also extremely disciplined at the plate working 27 walks to his 37 strikeouts and, with the Braves concentrating so heavily on on-base-percentage this has got to be a hugely appealing part of his game. As far as defensive positioning goes Dietrich does not project as a Major League shortstop but could easily switch to a role as an offensive second baseman but, with Martin Prado’s excellence and Chipper Jones’ increasing age, would seem more likely to move to third base. If Dietrich is seen as Chipper’s long term replacement the Braves would want him early to ensure the Astros don’t grab the young man they coveted so much from St Ignatius High. Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus also projects Dietrich going to the Braves with the 35th pick as the team’s future third baseman.

There have also been rumblings that in their search for power at the plate the Braves could be interested in taking Clemson Tigers outfielder Kyle Parker. While Parker does not have the natural hitting ability that Dietrich possesses but is quite possibly the strongest player in the draft not names Bryce Harper. In his three season with the Tigers Parker has hit well over 40 home runs in what has essentially been his second sport, more on the later. In his freshman year the left fielder hit .308 in what was a pretty solid first season at the college level but completely disappeared in his sophomore season only managing a .255 average with less works in more at-bats. This year however Parker has bounced back in a similar way to Derek Dietrich, in the same conference Parker has compiled a .358 average which is second on the Clemson team and has hit 19 home runs. Being from Jacksonville makes Parker the local player that usually fits well with the Braves organisation and, with the right development, could prove the power balance in left field to Jason Heyward in right. The huge downside with Parker is his signability. After starring for the Tigers football team last year has not helped any teams chance of signing young Kyle because there is no certainty about which sport Parker is truly committed to. To warrant the 35th pick in the draft Parker would have to prove his dedication to baseball, which no one has thoroughly explored yet. Parker could possibly spend three more years playing college football and at least have another year evaluating his pro prospects in both sports. Draft experts have Parker going anywhere from somewhere in the 20’s to the 43rd pick, if the left fielder is gone by the time the Braves pick it makes a difficult decision much easier, if not Parker could be too good a fit to pass on.

While both the first two players I looked at have plied their trade in the ACC the next two are from the Southeastern Conference, widely considered the closest thing to minor league baseball that college players will ever experience. One of the best of the last three years has been the Louisiana State catcher Micah Gibbs who has played on 3 SEC tournament winning teams, one outright Conference Champion and the 2009 National Championship team. Gibbs has become one of the most talented and heralded defensive players in college baseball, winning gold gloves and all-Defensive team honors from various organisations last year and has been compared to Jason Varitek for his defensive abilities. After hitting .322 in his Freshman season and .294 last year Gibbs had a breakout offensive year this year leading LSU in average (.388), on-base-percentage (.458) and ranked second in slugging percentage (.592). Gibbs’ general athletic ability means that he could easily move into a corner outfield position or even to third if that is what the Braves wanted. With Brian McCann’s ongoing eye problems however the Braves could be very tempted by his ability behind the plate if the worst happens with Mac. Gibbs doesn’t have the same power as Dietrich or Parker but has been a reliable RBI guy for a very successful LSU which projects him as 15 homer and 90+ RBI future if Atlanta came find a place for him. His track record of winning with Louisiana State teams cannot be overlooked, especially for an organisation like the Braves.

The second SEC player worth a look by the Braves is Alabama Crimson Tide Junior shortstop Josh Rutledge, who has not been talked about much despite comparing relatively well to SEC darling Zack Cox. Rutledge is a prototypical Braves selection having been born in Cullman, Alabama which, if you listen to the marketing department inside Turner Field is right in the middle of Braves Country. When he has been discussed his defence has been the major talking at Rutledge is a rare case of someone who projects as a Major League shortstop and would not need moving but, again, is athletic and talented enough to move if need be. The Alabama shortstop would not be the kind of power hitter that Parker could be but has been a good average hitter his entire career. At High School Rutledge hit .454 as a senior before enrolling at Alabama. His freshman season in Tuscaloosa, Rutledge lead the team in average with a .369 average before becoming an all-SEC selection in his sophomore year even despite seeing his average drop to.305. He has played in the Cape Cod summer league for two consecutive seasons compiling a .250 average in 35 games with the wood bat. While that average is in no way eye popping it is a real achievement given he usually hits with the college aluminium bat. To reach the .250 mark demonstrates plenty of room to grow in a team’s minor league system and projects really well as a potential Major League lead off man when coupled with his above average speed. Given the Braves early season issues at the lead-off spot Rutledge’s potential has to be incredibly tempting to explore.

While there is in-state talent at shortstop with Zach Alvord and pitching with Cameron Bedrosian neither has proven enough to warrant such a high draft pick, but could be good options for later rounds. As for the 35th pick all four would be good picks for the Braves and project to having bright futures, for the 35th I think you have to choose either Dietrich or Parker simply because they would be better fits at an earlier stage, both Rutledge and Gibbs would seem to be reaches in the first supplemental round. Both should be available at 53 and maybe later and, should Frank Wren and his team have the opportunity they have to grab whatever combination they could.